CO-05 · House · 2026
Republicans are strongly favored to win this seat
75% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-09-14.
Jessica Killin
Democrat
Jeff Crank
Republican
Jeffrey George Crank is an American politician and radio show host who has served as the U.S. representative for Colorado's 5th congressional district since 2025.
Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 4 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16