CO-08 · House · 2026

Democrats are heavily favored to win this seat

95% probability

Candidates

Last verified 2026-11-02.

Manny Rutinel

Democrat

95%

Tonty Enmanuel "Manny" Rutinel is an American attorney and politician who served as a member of the Colorado House of Representatives for the 32nd district from 2023 to 2026.

Gabe Evans

Republican

Held by a Democrat, seeking re-election.

Fundraising as of 2026-10-16 (FEC filings).

Why we think this

The seat is currently held by a Democrat, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.

Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.

Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-11-09