FL-13 · House · 2026
Republicans are strongly favored to win this seat
79% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-09-14.
Leela Gray
Democrat
Anna Paulina Luna
Republican
Anna Paulina Luna is an American politician and Air Force veteran serving as the U.S. representative for Florida's 13th congressional district since 2023.
Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 6 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16