FL-20 · House · 2026
Democrats are heavily favored to win this seat
100% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-11-02.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democrat
Deborah Wasserman Schultz is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Florida's 25th congressional district, first elected to Congress in 2004.
Brent Andersen
Republican
Held by a Democrat, seeking re-election.
Fundraising as of 2026-10-14 (FEC filings).
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Democrats by about 19 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- The seat is currently held by a Democrat, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-11-09