IN-02 · House · 2026
Republicans are heavily favored to win this seat
97% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-09-14.
Jamee Decio
Democrat
Rudy Yakym
Republican
Rudolph Chester Yakym III is an American politician and businessman who is the member of the U.S. House of Representatives representing Indiana's 2nd congressional district.
Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 13 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16