NC-09 · House · 2026

Republicans are strongly favored to win this seat

87% probability

Candidates

Last verified 2026-09-14.

Richard Ojeda

Democrat

13%

Richard Neece Ojeda II is an American politician and retired United States Army major who served in the West Virginia Senate representing the 7th district from January 2017 until January 2019.

Richard Hudson

Republican

87%

Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.

Why we think this

This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 7 points of margin before anything else is considered.
The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.

Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.

Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16