OH-08 · House · 2026

Republicans are strongly favored to win this seat

90% probability

Candidates

Last verified 2026-09-14.

Vanessa Enoch

Democrat

10%

Warren Davidson

Republican

90%

Warren Earl Davidson is an American politician and former military officer serving as the U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district since 2016.

Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.

Why we think this

This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 7 points of margin before anything else is considered.
The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.

Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.

Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16