SC-01 · House · 2026
Republicans are strongly favored to win this seat
82% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-09-14.
Nancy Lacore
Democrat
Nancy S. Lacore is a retired United States Navy officer and political candidate who served as the 16th Chief of Navy Reserve from 2024 to 2025.
Jenny Honeycutt
Republican
Open seat -- the current officeholder is a Republican, Nancy Mace, who is not running (running for governor).
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 6 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- This is an open seat: the current officeholder (a Republican, Nancy Mace) is not on the ballot, which tends to make the race more competitive than a defended seat.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16