WI-08 · House · 2026
Republicans are heavily favored to win this seat
95% probability
Candidates
Last verified 2026-09-14.
Rick Crosson
Democrat
Tony Wied
Republican
Anthony Christian Wied is an American politician from the Republican Party who is serving as the U.S. representative for Wisconsin's 8th congressional district since November 2024.
Held by a Republican, seeking re-election.
Why we think this
- This district's baseline partisan lean favors Republicans by about 7 points of margin before anything else is considered.
- The seat is currently held by a Republican, who is running for re-election -- incumbents usually run ahead of their party's baseline.
Model details -- coefficients, calibration, and the full technical decomposition.
Model house-2026-panel-v1 · computed 2026-09-16