Status

Live operational state of the Datum Signals data pipeline and forecast model. Page reads directly from the production database; no caching. Refresh for the latest values.

Forecast model

Brier score
0.0978 (coin-flip baseline 0.2500)
Status
Serving (see /calibration)

Indicator freshness

9 fresh, 3 stale, 2 overdue, 0 upstream-blocked.

DimensionIndicatorLast pullAgeExpectedStatesStatus
CivicTrust Civic Participation Composite 2026-08-29 18d 31d (+14d grace) 51 Current
DomesticStability State Domestic Stability Composite 2026-05-29next expected 2026-09 - annual release 51 Annual, current
Economy State Unemployment Rate (LAUS SA) 2026-07-31 47d 31d (+14d grace) 51 Stale
Economy Weekly Retail Gasoline Price (PADD) 2026-09-14 2d 7d (+4d grace) 51 Current
Economy State Initial Unemployment Claims (Economy) 2026-09-05 11d 7d (+4d grace) 51 Delayed-usable
Escape State Escape Composite 2026-09-04 12d 31d (+14d grace) 51 Current
Information Political Search Interest (Fixed Terms) 2026-09-16 0d 1d (+2d grace) 51 Current
Information_candidates Political Search Interest (Candidate Aggregate) 2026-09-16 0d 1d (+2d grace) 51 Current
Isolation State Isolation Composite 2026-05-29next expected 2026-09 - annual release 51 Annual, current
Mobility TSA Checkpoint Throughput (state estimate) 2026-09-14 2d 1d (+2d grace) 51 Delayed-usable
Mobility State Vehicle Miles Traveled 2026-06-30 78d 31d (+14d grace) 51 Stale
Money Political Money Velocity 2026-09-14 2d 7d (+4d grace) 51 Current
Pulse VoteHub State Polling Pulse 2026-09-19 -3d 7d (+4d grace) 18 Current
Risk State Risk Composite 2026-09-04 12d 31d (+14d grace) 51 Current
Security State Initial Unemployment Claims 2026-09-05 11d 7d (+4d grace) 51 Delayed-usable
Spending FEC Operating Expenditures 2026-09-12 4d 7d (+4d grace) 51 Current

Status is derived from each indicator's declared cadence in meta.cadence plus a per-cadence grace window (daily 2d, weekly 4d, monthly 14d, quarterly 35d, annual 175d). Anything past expected + grace flips to Overdue and triggers an email alert via the daily cron. Sources known to freeze upstream (FBI NICS PDF) are listed as Upstream blocked and intentionally excluded from alerting.

Update schedule

See /schedule for the full refresh cadence (data refresh, model retrain, mood index, race projections).

Page generated 2026-09-16T20:05:04.984Z.